TSG has a demonstrated record of helping businesses achieve success in the rapidly evolving international marketplace through our geopolitical advisory and strategy consulting practices. We offer a wide range of services and expertise tailored to meet individual client needs, applying the highest levels of transparency and accountability.

What We Offer

Our Services

  • We analyze global and local geopolitical risk to help clients plan for the future and identify opportunities.

    • Political Risk: Assesses risks to investments, operations, or supply chains from political instability, regime change, expropriation, civil unrest, or regulatory shifts

    • Country/Sovereign Risk: Evaluates a country's overall stability — economic, political, and security conditions

    • Macroeconomic and Fiscal policy: Analyzes shifts in government spending, tax rules, and debt levels, which in turn create market volatility, higher borrowing costs, and shifting inflation and currency risks

    • Sanctions & Export Controls: Assists companies in navigating sanctions regimes (e.g., OFAC, EU, UN), export control laws (e.g., ITAR, EAR), and compliance with rapidly shifting restrictions

    • Supply Chains & Trade: Focuses on geopolitical disruptions to trade routes, tariffs, reshoring/friend-shoring strategies, and dependency risks (e.g., semiconductor supply chains, critical minerals)

    • Regulatory & Policy Advisory: Helps organizations anticipate and respond to shifts in government policy, elections, and legislative agendas that affect their respective industries (e.g., energy, tech, healthcare)

    • Security & Threat Intelligence: Evaluates conflicts, hybrid warfare, and physical security risks (e.g., terrorism, civil unrest) as well as international security alliances

    • Emerging Tech: Analyzes tech decoupling (e.g., US-China tech restrictions, data localization laws), emerging tech (e.g., AI) risks, and related regulation (e.g., US and EU approaches to AI regulation)

    • Energy & Resource Security: Focuses on energy markets (e.g., pipeline politics, OPEC dynamics), critical minerals for the green transition, and resource nationalism

    • Multinational Engagement: Analyzes how multilateral organizations (e.g., G7, G20, IMF/WBG, BRICS, UN) shape political risk and global trends

    • Scenario Planning & Forecasting: Builds structured scenarios, identifies trends, and highlights signposts to help leadership stress-test strategy against multiple geopolitical futures

  • We provide an array of strategic planning and consulting services to help our clients make long-term decisions and navigate complex business environments in the global arena:

    • Corporate Growth Strategies and Strategic Planning

    • Government Relations & Public Affairs

    • M&A / Investment Due Diligence (Geopolitical Lens)

    • Market Entry

    • Political and Business Risk Management

    • Trade Barrier Solutions

    • Sanctions & Export Controls

    • Support for International Government Relations

    • Deal Sourcing

    • Market Analysis and Local Partner Evaluation

    • Capital Raising (Private and Public)

    • Acquisition Strategy and Deal Negotiation

    • Exit Strategies

  • We advise the boards of leading companies on geopolitical events and local market risks/opportunities. We develop international advisory boards, setting up their mission, identifying members, and curating thought leadership.

Global Reach

Based in Washington, DC, TSG brings a unique perspective and nonpartisan insight from the heart of US policymaking. Our team’s in-depth regional expertise affords our clients with strategic and timely awareness about specific markets in a new era of global competition. We help clients contextualize country events and regional trends so they can optimize their business and plan for the future.

    • China Market Entry and Investment Strategy: TSG guided major companies through China’s evolving regulatory landscape — working with the largest US investor in China to revise its business plan, support over $1 billion in new capital investment, and build a government relations strategy for a changing regulatory environment. We also helped one of the world’s largest insurers win a China business license and build lasting regulator relations, as well as advised a leading online financial firm on its China foreign direct investment and export strategy.

    • Dispute Resolution and Arbitration: TSG resolved high-stakes disputes across Asia’s most complex markets, including one of the largest equity investment disputes in China — securing the return of invested capital and profits to foreign participants — and a multi-billion dollar commercial dispute for the largest China vehicle joint venture, resolved without penalties or litigation. In India, we helped a leading US energy services company settle a longstanding dispute with the government, resulting in the largest arbitration award ever against an Indian parastatal.

    • Government Relations and Corporate Strategy across Asia: Beyond China, TSG supported Fortune 100 companies on government relations strategy in Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, and Myanmar, helping them navigate diverse regulatory and political environments. We also supported a US technology firm in one of the largest acquisitions of a Chinese subsidiary, combining regional insight with deal execution expertise.

    • Energy and Transportation Transactions: TSG advised on significant energy and infrastructure deals across the region, including a Fortune 100 company’s $122 million transportation transaction in Central Asia; an independent US oil company’s $100 million sale of Turkish gas assets; and a financial institution’s support on the privatization of a downstream oil and gas opportunity in South-Eastern Europe.

    • Russia-Focused Advisory: TSG provided deep Russia-specific expertise, advising one of the world’s largest banks on inbound Russian investment and country risk issues; a major US retailer on its market entry strategy into Russia (pre-war); and a financial institution on natural resource investment strategies in the country.

    • Regional Market Entry: TSG guided several US financial and manufacturing companies on market-entry strategies across the region, including Turkey, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Russia.

    • Strategic Partnerships and Market Entry: TSG advised companies on high-value partnerships and investments across the Middle East, including a diversified US technology company’s strategic partnership with a Middle Eastern Sovereign Wealth Fund and a US infrastructure manufacturer’s greenfield investment and partnership opportunities in the region. We also guided a large US leisure goods manufacturer through its Middle East acquisitions.

    • Energy and Telecommunications Sector Advisory: TSG provided deep sector expertise to energy and telecom deals across the Gulf, advising a major international oil and gas company on exploration and production investments in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait; a major US telecommunications firm on the partial privatization of Saudi Telecom; and a large US telecom equipment manufacturer on procurement tenders in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, and Egypt.

    • Financial Services and Asset Recovery: TSG also supported clients on complex financial matters in the region, including advising the liquidator of a large financial institution on the recovery of assets across the Middle East.

    • Telecommunications Transactions: TSG advised on major telecom deals across Sub-Saharan Africa, serving as sell-side advisor to a mobile operator in East Africa on a $128 million transaction; a member of a large buy-side team that concluded a $1.2 billion telecom transaction in South Africa; and a financial advisor to a large telecom firm on its $320 million purchase of a South African mobile operator.

    • Oil and Gas Advisory: TSG supported oil and gas clients pursuing East African opportunities, assisting in negotiations on the farm-out of an East African oil and gas block, and advising a Gulf-based oil and gas company on the acquisition of East African exploration and production assets.

    • Mining and Natural Resources: TSG advised resource and commodity clients on complex transactions and regulatory matters across Africa, including a multinational resource corporation navigating a regulatory review with a SADC-region government; one of the world’s largest mining companies on a $1 billion-plus asset acquisition; and a major commodity trading company on acquisition opportunities.

    • Aviation and Consumer Sector Advisory: TSG supported companies expanding sales and operations across Latin America, including a major US aviation corporation’s customer sales in the region and a luxury boat manufacturer’s short- and mid-term strategic development plans across Latin American markets.

    • Energy and Mining Political Risk Advisory: TSG helped energy and mining clients navigate Latin America’s political and economic landscape, assisting a US-based energy company in understanding regional developments and shaping new project strategies and advising a large US mining company on political and macroeconomic developments in Venezuela, Mexico, Peru, and Argentina.

Industry Experience

At TSG, we tailor our service offerings to provide specialized expertise across all sectors.

  • As the global economy continues to broaden and deepen its interconnections, financial markets, insurance, and banking sectors increase their vulnerability to systemic shocks stemming from global fiscal and monetary policies, industry trends, and geopolitical and other crises. Understanding the likely paths of resolution and evolution for the industry and navigating the uncertainty of complex regulations present significant business opportunities for forward-looking companies.

    TSG partners with a wide array of global financial clients, from commodity traders and alternative investment funds to commercial banks and insurance firms, offering a wide range of strategic risk advisory and investment decision-making support.

    Client Snapshot: TSG advised a US private equity fund in unwinding a food manufacturing investment in China, resulting in the client recovering its complete investment.

  • The US continues to lead the global defense and aerospace (A&D) industry with over $1 trillion in sales, but economic and political trends continually compel companies to pursue and develop new markets. Emerging A&D manufacturing powers like China, India, and Russia are challenging the space traditionally occupied by the US and Europe (UK, France). Larger, secular changes in the international system force firms to face the ever-mounting requirement to find creative avenues for expansion within the global marketplace and navigate the complexities of more traditional sources of demand.

    Client Snapshot: TSG successfully advised a European defense leader on a strategic acquisition opportunity. We have also assisted a major defense firm in pursuing global partnerships and co-production opportunities.

  • Global business cycles and demographic trends continually force manufacturers to reassess their operations and investments and to consider how to restructure profitability in more restrictive environments. A focus on efficiency and the introduction of new technologies has led to cost-cutting efforts through process innovations and reorganizing supply chains to more quickly and easily respond to customer needs. But heightened volatility in commodity prices and unpredictable disruptions due to the pandemic, trade conflicts, and geopolitical crises have also provoked a push for supply chain resilience. Competitively low costs despite these challenges will be essential moving into the future.

    From strategic planning to risk management to market entry assistance, TSG implements strategies to improve client productivity and protect against new vulnerabilities.

    C‍lient Snapshot: TSG advised a multinational company on multiple options for vertical integration of its product in Sub-Saharan Africa. We have assisted other multinational corporations in pursuing numerous partnerships and co-production opportunities across the continent.

  • The world population in 2050 is expected to approach 10 billion people. By 2035, global energy demand is projected to increase significantly, with overall energy consumption estimated to grow by more than 50% compared to historical levels. Rapid industrialization in emerging economies and investment in new technologies like data centers, AI, and electric vehicles are driving the surge in electricity demand and competition for critical minerals. With such fast-paced growth in population and demand, the energy and mining sectors hold enormous potential. TSG has a long track record of helping clients in the oil & gas, renewables, and mining sectors. We can provide the needed expertise to navigate the complexities of these sectors and capitalize on the opportunities presented as the demand for energy and critical minerals continues to grow to power the tech and green revolutions.

    Client Snapshot: TSG successfully guided clients on energy and mining sector deals in the Middle East, Asia, and Africa. We advised a Gulf-based oil and gas company on the acquisition of East African exploration and production assets. We also assisted a major US nuclear energy firm in obtaining a federal license, as well as advised one of the world’s largest mining companies on an acquisition in Africa.

  • ‍ The rapid development of emerging technologies like AI presents new risks and opportunities for countries and companies alike. From telecommunications licensing, tech export controls, internet services, AI regulations, and social media marketing, forward-looking firms have the unique opportunity to capitalize on an industry that promises strong growth for decades to come. 

    TSG has substantial experience providing transaction advisory services and helping close telecom deals in emerging markets poised for enormous growth. We have also worked with tech firms to understand the regulatory environment and work with government relations teams to identify new markets for expansion.

    Client Snapshot: TSG participated on a buy-side team for a $1.2 billion telecom acquisition in South Africa, advised firms on a telecom settlement in Turkey, and aided in procurement tenders for a telecom manufacturer in several Middle Eastern countries. We also assisted a cutting-edge telecommunications firm in pursuing domestic and foreign military opportunities.

  • ‍Emerging market economies are expected to nearly double the number of middle class households by 2035 to more than 670 million.  The rapid growth of the global middle class will have a profound effect on global consumption patterns, as purchasing power rises, notably in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. TSG offers unique market entry support, political analysis, supply chain resilience, sourcing risk, and regulatory insights for clients operating in a variety of consumer-oriented markets, from technology to consumer staples.

    Client Snapshot: TSG advised a Fortune 500 food company on its global emerging markets strategy. We also advised a large US manufacturer of leisure goods on its Middle East acquisitions.

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